12 Aug 2022

Results of General Election exit polls reveal photo finish

general election #ge2020

Exit polls General Election 2020

The General Election exit polls show a photo finish between Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin all on 22% of the vote after General Election 2020.

The poll is relatively good news for Fine Gael as it shows them recovering some lost ground revealed in opinion polls. They lead the way marginally over Sinn Féin who will also be happy with the showing though it is down on the final opinion poll which saw them being backed by 25% of the electorate.

It hasn't been a great day for Fianna Fáil trailing third place. However, there is a margin of error of -1.3% and + 1.3% which puts the parties at level pegging.

Sinn Féin polled extremely well among young people getting nearly a third of the 18 to 24 voters.

The downside for Sinn Féin could be that they have far fewer candidates than Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil which means they might not match the other two parties in terms of seats won. However, FG and FF may have too many seats for the amount of candidates 

The main poll was carried out by the Irish Times’ pollsters Ipsos MRBI and was commissioned jointly by The Irish Times, RTÉ, TG4 and UCD.

The poll was carried out across the country in 250 polling stations across all constituencies. A total of 5,000 people were polled on their first preference vote.

The results are as follows:

Fine Gael 22.4

Sinn Féin 22.3

Fianna Fáil 22.2

Labour Party 4.6

Green Party 7.9

PBP / Solidarity2.8

Aontú 1.8

Social Democrats 3.4

Smaller parties 1.5

Independents 11.2

Analysing the exit poll results David McCullagh of RTÉ said that given they are so close it would be 'very foolish' to predict who would come out on top. He indicated that the result could result in another General Election.

Pat Leahy of the Irish Times described the result as 'extraordinary' and there has never been an outcome like this before.

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